Young Hamilton may have cocked it up massively in his first season, but this shouldn’t affect his chances of getting the gong: both Nigel Mansell and Damon Hill won despite coming second in the championship (and not having a personality between them). An F1 driver has won in each of the past five decades, (except this one) and it is also by far the most successful of the sports, boasting six victories (Damon Hill, 1994 and 1996; Nigel Mansell 1992 and 1986; Jackie Stewart, 1973; Stirling Moss, 1961). Current odds - 2/7